Category Archives: US market

Gold, Silver Prices Rebound; Tame U.S. Inflation Data Supportive

29 Friday Mar 2019

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(Kitco News) – Gold and silver prices are posting moderate corrective gains in early-morning dealings Friday, following the sharp losses suffered Thursday. Overnight, gold did drop to a three-week low, while silver hit a three-month low. Some mild U.S. inflation data just released is also helping out the precious metals market bulls. April gold futures were last up $6.10 an ounce at $1,295.90. May Comex silver was last up $0.122 at $15.09 an ounce.

The just-released U.S. personal income and spending report for February came in at up 0.2%, which was in line with market expectations. The January personal consumption expenditures price index came in at down 0.1% from December and up 1.8%, year-on-year. Personal spending in January came in below expectations, at up 0.1% from December. These numbers fall into the camp of the U.S. monetary policy doves, who do not want to see U.S. interest rates rise anytime soon. Metals prices did up-tick after hit report hit the news wires.

Asian and European stock indexes were mostly firmer overnight. U.S. stock indexes are pointed toward slightly higher openings when the New York day session begins. Today is the last trading day of the week, of the month, and of the quarter, which makes it an extra important trading day from a charts and technical perspective. Traders and investors are exhibiting a bit more risk appetite late this week, which has buoyed world stock markets but has helped to sink the safe-haven gold and silver markets.

The U.S. and China held high-level trade talks in Beijing late Thursday and Friday. U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said those talks were productive. However, Larry Kudlow, President Trump’s economic advisor, said on Thursday any final U.S.-China trade accord is likely to come months down the road. There is no clear consensus in the marketplace on the eventual outcome of the U.S.-China trade talks, which means that when any final result is announced it is likely to cause at least some volatility in some markets.

The U.K. Parliament is likely to vote Friday on another option offered by Prime Minister Theresa May to break the Brexit deadlock. There are not high expectations for her latest plan to be approved by the MPs. Today is the day the U.K. was set to leave the European Union. May’s options moving forward on the matter are increasingly limited, with speculation of a general election being held in the near future.

The key outside markets today see the U.S. dollar index higher and hitting another 2.5-week high today. The USDX is back near its recent multi-month high. Meantime, Nymex crude oil prices are higher and trading around $60.00 a barrel. Oil prices are still trending higher on the daily bar chart even though price action has been sideways this week.

read more via: https://www.kitco.com/news/2019-03-29/Gold-Silver-Prices-Rebound-Tame-U-S-Inflation-Data-Supportive.html

PRECIOUS-Gold scales 2-week peak; palladium matches record high

15 Friday Feb 2019

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By Arpan Varghese

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Feb 15 – Gold jumped to a two-week high on Friday after weak U.S. economic data boosted expectations the U.S. Federal Reserve would hold pat on monetary tightening, while palladium matched an all-time high on a prolonged deficit.

Spot gold was up 0.4 percent at $1,317.36 an ounce at 12:47 p.m. EST (1747 GMT), having touched its highest since Feb. 1 at $1,319.81.

U.S. gold futures rose 0.5 percent to $1,320.60.

While gold is on track for a small weekly gain, it was rangebound for most of the week, with gains on Friday stemmed by a firmer dollar and a rebound in stocks.

Read more via: https://af.reuters.com/article/metalsNews/idAFL3N20A4DY

Precious Metals Decline On Steady Risk Appetite

04 Monday Feb 2019

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Risk appetite in equity and forex markets and positive US dollar in the broad market caused precious metals to decline in broad market.

Precious metals today saw sharp downside move as market scenario returned to normal following an eventful month. Given the fact that there is no major market altering events in the week ahead and the fact that market is set to see a week full of first tier macro data updates, investor sentiment is positive with plenty of risk appetite across all major global markets. Further US Dollar gained strength in the broad market following upbeat US NFP data and ISM Manufacturing PMI released last Friday. The dollar has retained its strength across Asian and early European market hours which also added to precious metal market bears.

Brent Crude Climbs Above $60 Per Barrel

Positive US dollar in broad market is always bearish for greenback denominated precious metals. A higher value of USD discourages participants from emerging markets owing to higher exchange rate which further reduces activity in the precious metals market. Risk appetite is currently very high in broad market as headlines last week hinted that China & U.S. managed to come to an agreement on many key issues which improved chances of a trade deal between two nations. As of writing this article, spot gold XAUUSD is trading at $1310.92 per ounce down by 0.51% on the day while US gold futures GCcv1 was trading at $1314.90 per ounce down by 0.54% on the day. Meanwhile, spot silver XAGUSD is trading at $15.75 per ounce down by 0.92% on the day.

Read more via: https://www.fxempire.com/news/article/precious-metals-decline-on-steady-risk-appetite-550655

Gold prices post a modest decline as dollar weakens ahead of midterm vote – MarketWatch

06 Tuesday Nov 2018

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Gold prices posted a slight decline on Monday, holding above $1,230 an ounce for a third straight session as traders eyed some weakness in the U.S. dollar a day ahead of the closely watched midterm elections.

“Stepping back from today’s price action, what is most interesting for gold is how well it has held its ground despite a significant rally in the U.S. Dollar Index in recent weeks,” Michael Armbruster, managing partner at Altavest, told MarketWatch. “When it comes to gold, it’s easy to be lulled into a sense of complacency when the U.S. dollar is trending higher along with interest rates.”

Gold for December delivery GCZ8, -0.37%  edged down $1, or less than 0.1%, to settle at $1,232.30 an ounce, squarely between the day’s high of $1,236.60 and low of $1,228.40.

The contract ended last week slightly lower after a report showed a U.S. job market that was even stronger than expected—data seen keeping the next Federal Reserve interest-rate hike likely on track for December. Higher rates dull the appeal of nonyielding bullion, while boosting the dollar, making dollar-priced commodities less attractive to investors using other currencies.

Still, data Monday showed the nonmanufacturing index compiled by the Institute for Supply Management slipped to 60.3 last month from a 21-year high of 61.6 in September.

The dollar continued its decline after the ISM services survey, with the ICE U.S. Dollar index DXY, -0.06% down 0.3% at 96.286 in Monday dealings. Last Thursday, gold settled at its highest level in more than three months when the index weakened and as stock markets wrapped up a dismal October.

“Increased risk aversion with the equity markets’ selloff has certainly added a risk-averse boost to gold in recent weeks, but if the dollar starts to lose traction due to the reversal of the U.S.-China trade dispute, then this could be a driver of continued gold strength,” said Richard Perry, analyst at Hantec Markets.

Perry is watching $1,236 as a technical “line in the sand” for gold and says a consistently higher market at that price opens the way to a climb toward $1,266.

Armbruster pointed out that “investors should keep in mind that central banks around the world (China, Russia and others) are reportedly adding to their gold holdings. Such behavior by central banks may trump headwinds from the dollar and interest rates and result in a surprise rally.”

Read more via Gold prices post a modest decline as dollar weakens ahead of midterm vote – MarketWatch

More Upside For Gold Prices

02 Friday Nov 2018

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This month’s rally in gold prices may not be over.

That’s because investors are still heavily betting on a decline in the value of the precious metal. When speculators overwhelmingly bet in one direction then a move in the opposite way is often the result.

Bars of gold bullion. Rob Bennett/AP Images for APMEX

On October 1, I wrote that speculators were betting so heavily on a further decline in gold prices that we’d likely see a rally. You can read the story here. Starting late January gold prices tumbled until they reached a recent low in mid-August.

However, even as the price stabilized traders held onto those so-called short positions, also known as bets on a decline in prices, and kept betting on further falls in the price.

By early October the negative bets became extreme and hence increased the likelihood of a gold price rally.

Read more via More Upside For Gold Prices

Gold prices dip on strong dollar, equities rebound | Reuters

26 Friday Oct 2018

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(Reuters) – Gold prices fell on Thursday on a strong dollar and a rebound of stocks following a multi-day sell-off globally, taking steam out of bullion’s momentum.

Prices had risen to $1,239.22 earlier, near a more than three-month high of $1,239.68 hit on Tuesday as the stock market sell-off spurred interest in gold, considered a safer investment.

U.S. gold futures GCcv1 settled up $1.3, or 0.11 percent, at $1,232.40

“With equities being higher today, gold is unable to sustain a rally,” said Bob Haberkorn, senior market strategist at RJO Futures, adding that investors looking for safety are opting for Treasuries instead. [US/]

“Normally you would see gold trading significantly higher with this volatility, concerns in equity markets and global economic slowdown. But the fact that the U.S. Federal Reserve is hawkish, gold is having a hard time sustaining any rallies.”

The government said earlier that the number of Americans receiving unemployment benefits fell to more than a 45-year low, a sign to tight labour market conditions. That will likely keep the U.S. central bank on course to raise interest rates again in December. [nUSNPLEEMN]

Prospects of higher U.S. interest rates are negative for dollar-priced gold as they raise the opportunity cost of holding the bullion.

“The options expiry on Thursday is also dampening volatility in gold as between $1,225 and $1,230. There were about 1.5 million ounces of options that were open, allowing people to play around the range,” said Tai Wong, head of precious and base metals trading at BMO.

via Gold prices dip on strong dollar, equities rebound | Reuters

Short Sellers Beware: Gold “Must Go Higher” – Edelson Institute | Kitco News

09 Tuesday Oct 2018

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The cost of acquisitions has now fallen below the cost of exploration for major miners, and gold prices could benefit from a dwindling resource supply, this according to a recent report from the Edelson Institute.

Sean Brodrick of the Edelson Institute said that if gold prices don’t advance higher from here, many miners are likely to go out of business.

“If companies go out of business, and the only ‘new’ gold ounces come through acquisitions, that means gold supply will go down. And as surely as dawn follows night, prices will go up,” Brodrick said.

His comments come as Barrick Gold recently announced a merger with Randgold, forming the world’s undisputed largest gold miner.

According to the report, the cost of finding gold through exploration has climbed eight-fold since 2007, and gold miners are using up the resources in the ground.

Read more via Short Sellers Beware: Gold “Must Go Higher” – Edelson Institute | Kitco News

PRECIOUS-Gold steady as robust U.S. economy outlook stems safe-haven buying | Reuters

05 Friday Oct 2018

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* SPDR Gold holdings down 4.5 million ounces since April

* U.S. 10-year Treasury yields highest since 2011

* Dollar near 11-month highs against Japanese yen (Recasts with prices paring gains, adds comments)

By Swati Verma

BENGALURU, Oct 4 (Reuters) – Gold steadied on Thursday as positive U.S. economic data and prospects of tighter monetary policy offset limited gains from safe haven buying.

Spot gold was up 0.1 percent at $1,197.87 an ounce by 2:14 p.m. EDT (1814 GMT). U.S. gold futures settled down $1.30, or 0.11 percent, at $1,201.60.

Read more via PRECIOUS-Gold steady as robust U.S. economy outlook stems safe-haven buying | Reuters

Gold set for longest monthly losing streak in 2 decades

28 Friday Sep 2018

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Gold hit a fresh six-week low on Friday as the dollar firmed after upbeat U.S. economic data supported the Federal Reserve’s resolve for steady interest rate hikes, putting the metal on track for its longest monthly losing streak since January 1997.

Gold was down about 1.6 percent in September, its sixth straight monthly loss.

Spot gold rose 0.9 percent to $1,192.53 an ounce. The metal touched its lowest since Aug. 17 at $1,180.34 an ounce earlier in the session, dipping further from a six-week low of $1,181.61 hit on Thursday.

U.S. gold futures rose 0.7 percent at $1,196.10 an ounce.

The dollar gained against its peers on Friday as data showed U.S. economic growth accelerated in the second quarter at its fastest pace in nearly four years. Another report showed durable goods rose 4.5 percent in August, rebounding from a revised 1.2 percent drop the month before.

The short-term outlook is bearish for gold as the dollar may see some upside due to an ongoing trade war between China and the U.S. and the Federal Reserve interest rate hike outlook, according to Argonaut Securities analyst Helen Lau.

The Fed raised interest rates on Wednesday and said it planned four more increases by the end of 2019 and another in 2020.

“Robust U.S. economic fundamentals despite an escalation in trade tariffs have done little to lift demand for the non-interest bearing asset,” said Benjamin Lu, commodities analyst at Phillip Futures.

“The outlook for gold prices in the current term remains dim as such in lieu of rising rates and yields amidst buoyant U.S. economic conditions.”

Gold is down more than 13 percent from an April high, largely because of the stronger dollar, which has been boosted by a vibrant U.S. economy and fears of a global trade war. Investors have bought the greenback instead of gold as a safe investment.

Meanwhile, President Donald Trump’s accusation of Chinese meddling in the upcoming U.S. elections marks a new phase in an escalating pressure campaign against Beijing that Washington is pursuing on multiple fronts, senior U.S. officials said on Thursday.

“The trade war continues to favour the U.S. dollar and this will generally dampen gold’s upside,” said Nicholas Frappell, global general manager, ABC Bullion, Australia.

“Large speculative shorts may help cushion weakness as punters keep an eye on levels to close out and take money off the table,” he said.

Among other metals, palladium touched a fresh eight-month high at $1,088.97 an ounce. Silver rose 3.4 percent to $14.68 an ounce and platinum was up 0.7 percent to $815.24.

via Gold set for longest monthly losing streak in 2 decades

Gold prices edge higher as dollar finds little traction ahead of Wednesday’s Fed decision – MarketWatch

27 Thursday Sep 2018

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Gold futures eked out back-to-back gains Tuesday as the dollar index softened ahead of the Federal Reserve decision, which could yield a third rate increase of the year—a negative development for gold because it can bolster the dollar.

December gold GCZ8, -0.91%  rose 70 cents, or less than 0.1%, to settle at $1,205.10 an ounce, gaining as the dollar index DXY, +0.54%  traded little changed at 94.155.

The dollar and gold, which is chiefly priced in the U.S. currency, tend to move inversely. Gold prices based on the most-active contracts have declined by 8% so far in 2018 while the dollar index is up about 2.2%.

Read more via Gold prices edge higher as dollar finds little traction ahead of Wednesday’s Fed decision – MarketWatch

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